Tuesday, July 27, 2010

RESULTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :) :)

FINALLY!!!!!!!!!!!
THE MONTE CARLO SIMULATION RETURNED LEGITIMATE RESULTS!!!! MORE CAPSLOCK!!!!!!


It ended on.......
drumroll......

26 observations of 68 stars yielding an average of 6.2 planets.

Actually a couple earlier 24 observations of 68 stars yielded 7.02 planets, which is the best of the 985 accepted new points. I think I need to tighten the acceptance probability at the end and also run more iterations, since it still jumped around a bit near the end. Also, 986 times it accepted new points out of the thousand iterations? Definitely tightening acceptance criterion/ running more iterations.

I'll run it for 5000 iterations right now, and check back after dinner!!!!!!

1 comment:

  1. Nice work! A few comments:

    1) Does 26 observations = 26 per star? If so, that's a lot of observations. Does that fit into
    a 3 year survey with 20 hours/year of telescope time?

    2) 6.2 planets out of 68 stars is close to 10%. This must mean you are missing a lot of planets since 2.5 Msun stars should have about a 2.5 * 7.7% occurrence rate. Have you been tracking the planets you put in so you can examine which masses you detect and which ones you miss? Is there a clear dividing line along some characteristic mass?

    3) MORE CAPSLOCK!!!

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